Will there be a SHOCKING UPSET at the Oscars? (Winner <10%, according to Manifold)

The market shows a close split on the likelihood of a shocking upset at the Oscars.

With a probability of 46.02% for a shocking upset and 53.98% against, the market indicates a nearly even split. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting the market is fairly priced with a slight edge towards 'NO'. Confidence is moderate at 60/100, reflecting uncertainty as the event approaches.

• 1 Market sentiment is nearly balanced, indicating uncertainty.
• 2 The probabilities suggest a competitive race among nominees.
• 3 Historical trends may influence expectations of upsets.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, allowing for responsive trading.
• 5 Time pressure is high with only 4 hours until the event.