Markets / AI & Tech / Will there be a state-of-the-art LLM that is NOT based on ne...

Manifold AI & Tech Expires in 976 days OPEN

Will there be a state-of-the-art LLM that is NOT based on next raw token prediction before 2029?

67.46%

Market YES

32.54%

Market NO

Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

YES

Verdict

60.46%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: -7 pts

Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 45/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

AI Market Analysis

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Price History

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Market Info

Platform Manifold

Volume $44

Liquidity $0

Resolves 02 Jan 2029

Status Open