Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?

Market leans towards the tweet not holding up by February 2028.

The prediction market shows a significant majority (74.67%) believing that Yudkowsky's tweet on AI babysitters will not hold up by February 2028. The Pulse AI probability also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating skepticism about the tweet's long-term relevance. With a confidence level of 50/100 and a fair pricing edge of 4.5, the market appears stable but uncertain.

• 1 Current market probability favors 'NO' at 74.67%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly more optimistic at 29.83% for 'YES'.
• 3 The market is assessed to be fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 50/100, indicating uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 16959 hours, allowing for potential shifts.