Markets / AI & Tech / Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal t...

Manifold AI & Tech Expires in 5 days OPEN

Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2026?

21.75%

Market YES

78.25%

Market NO

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Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

Verdict

40.72%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Market appears fairly priced Edge: +4.5 pts

Market leans towards no popular LLM fine-tuned on personal texts by June 2026.

The prediction market indicates a higher likelihood of not having a popular LLM fine-tuned on personal texts by June 1, 2026, with a probability of 63.78% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, though slightly more optimistic, suggesting a potential for future developments in this area.

AI Market Analysis

1 Current market probability favors 'NO' at 63.78%.
2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 40.72%.
3 Market confidence is moderate at 60/100.
4 The time to expiry is significant at 1899 hours, allowing for potential developments.
5 The edge of 4.5 suggests the market is fairly priced without strong biases.