Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?

The market favors Anthropic's DoW deal over xAI's potential replacement.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong preference for Anthropic's DoW deal, with a 78% likelihood that it will not be replaced by xAI. The Pulse AI's slightly higher probability for a YES outcome suggests some uncertainty, but overall confidence remains moderate at 55/100. With over 7000 hours until expiry, there is ample time for developments that could influence these probabilities.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors Anthropic's DoW deal.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher chance for xAI's success.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 4 The time to expiry allows for potential market shifts.
• 5 The edge of 4.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.