Markets / AI & Tech / Zuck departs Meta before Elon departs SpaceX...
Manifold AI & Tech Expires in 36 days OPEN

Zuck departs Meta before Elon departs SpaceX

30%
Market YES
70%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
34.5%
AI YES
55
Confidence
45
Reliability
Market appears fairly priced Edge: +4.5 pts

Market favors Zuck staying at Meta over Elon at SpaceX.

The prediction market indicates a 70% probability that Mark Zuckerberg will remain at Meta longer than Elon Musk stays at SpaceX. The Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance for Zuck's departure, but overall, the market appears to be fairly priced with a confidence level of 55 out of 100.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market probability shows a strong belief in Zuck's stability at Meta.
  • 2 Pulse AI suggests a marginally higher likelihood for Zuck's departure.
  • 3 Market confidence is moderate, indicating some uncertainty.
  • 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments.
  • 5 Liquidity appears balanced, reflecting a fair pricing of the event.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Major leadership changes at Meta or SpaceX
New public statements from Zuck or Elon regarding their tenures
Significant shifts in company performance or strategy
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $1,377
Liquidity $0
Resolves 01 Jul 2026
Status Open
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