Market indicates a close call on Google's stock movement on March 9.
The prediction market shows a slight edge for Google's stock to go up at 52%, while the AI probability is closely aligned at 50.5%. With a confidence level of 60 out of 100 and an edge of -1.5, the market appears fairly priced, suggesting uncertainty in the stock's direction.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official NASDAQ closing price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on Monday, March 9, 2026 is higher than the official NASDAQ closing price for GOOGL on the most recent prior trading day.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the official NASDAQ closing price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on Monday, March 9, 2026 is lower than the official NASDAQ closing price for GOOGL on the most recent prior trading day.
E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
If GOOGL does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by NASDAQ for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for