Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?

Market strongly favors NO for Henry Cavill as the next James Bond.

The prediction market shows a significant probability of 97.25% for NO regarding Henry Cavill's casting as the next James Bond. With a confidence level of 75/100 and a fairly priced edge of 1.5, the market reflects a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a low likelihood of Cavill's announcement.

• 1 Current market probability heavily favors NO at 97.25%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for YES at 4.25%.
• 3 Confidence level of 75 indicates moderate certainty in the market's stance.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 implies the market is fairly priced with little room for mispricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 2526 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.