Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?

Market strongly favors 'NO' for Jacob Elordi as the next James Bond.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 98.85% for 'NO' regarding Jacob Elordi being announced as the next James Bond, with a lower AI probability of 4.15% for 'YES'. The market appears fairly priced, indicating that current sentiment leans heavily against this outcome, despite some speculative interest.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Elordi as Bond.
• 2 The AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance than the market.
• 3 Market pricing indicates a balanced view with a low edge.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.