New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Market leans slightly towards a new Rihanna album releasing before GTA VI.

The prediction market shows a 53.50% probability for a new Rihanna album being released before GTA VI, with Pulse AI slightly higher at 55%. The edge of 1.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced, indicating a moderate level of confidence in the outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a new Rihanna album release.
• 2 The probabilities indicate a close competition between the two events.
• 3 The edge suggests the market is efficiently priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 75/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry of 3467 hours allows for significant developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rihanna officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. A