Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Low market probability suggests Josh O'Connor is unlikely to be the next James Bond.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Josh O'Connor being announced as the next James Bond, with a 98.2% probability for 'NO'. The AI model also reflects this sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 4.8%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' for O'Connor as Bond.
• 2 Market probability indicates a strong belief in alternative candidates.
• 3 AI model shows a slightly more optimistic view for O'Connor's chances.
• 4 Market is considered fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in sentiment or news.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.