Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Market indicates low likelihood of Tim Cook leaving Apple CEO position before 2027.

The prediction market shows a 31% probability for Tim Cook stepping down as CEO of Apple before 2027, with a stronger consensus (69%) suggesting he will remain. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a slight increase in perceived risk of his departure. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current sentiment favors Tim Cook staying in his role.
• 2 Market probability suggests a stable leadership outlook at Apple.
• 3 Historical trends show long tenures for tech CEOs like Cook.
• 4 Liquidity in the market indicates moderate trading activity.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential developments influencing leadership.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.