Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?

Market indicates low likelihood of Tim Cook leaving Apple by March 31.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Tim Cook stepping down as Apple CEO, with a 98.85% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge of 3. Confidence levels are moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty around future developments.

• 1 Current sentiment strongly favors Tim Cook remaining CEO.
• 2 Market probability suggests minimal risk of leadership change.
• 3 Historical trends show stability in Apple's executive leadership.
• 4 Liquidity appears sufficient for market participants to act.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential developments affecting leadership.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Cook ceases to be CEO of Apple for any length of time between November 20, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Tim Cook's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Apple and/or Tim Cook, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.