Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Low probability for Amazon to be the second-largest company by market cap on April 30.

The market indicates a 2.40% chance of Amazon being the second-largest company by market cap on April 30, with a strong consensus against it at 97.6%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 5.4%, but overall confidence remains moderate at 65/100, indicating a balanced view on the market's pricing.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 97.6%.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability of 5.4% for 'YES'.
• 3 The edge of 3 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is 845 hours, allowing for potential market fluctuations.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.