Will Amazon dip to $192 in March?

Market leans towards Amazon not dipping to $192 in March.

The current market probability indicates a higher likelihood that Amazon will not reach $192 by March, with a 63.5% NO probability compared to 36.5% YES. The Pulse AI probability also supports this view, suggesting a consensus that the stock will remain above this threshold. With a confidence level of 55 out of 100 and a fair pricing edge of 4.5, the market appears to reflect balanced expectations.

• 1 Market probability favors a NO outcome at 63.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher YES probability at 41%.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is 390 hours, allowing for potential market fluctuations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.