Market shows a low probability for Amazon reaching $224 in March.
The current market probability indicates a 30% chance of Amazon reaching $224 by March, while the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 34.5%. With a confidence level of 55/100 and a time to expiry of 384 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced with a slight edge of 4.5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.