Market indicates low probability for Amazon to reach $276 in March.
The prediction market shows a 2.60% chance of Amazon reaching $276 in March, while the AI model suggests a slightly higher probability of 5.6%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 400 hours, the market appears fairly priced, indicating a strong consensus against this outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.