Market indicates low likelihood of Amazon reaching $296 in March.
The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Amazon reaching $296, with a probability of only 1.75% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge. Given the time to expiry of 400 hours, there is still room for potential shifts in sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.