Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Market predicts a high likelihood that Anthropic will IPO by 2027.

The prediction market indicates an 83% probability that Anthropic will not go public by December 31, 2027, suggesting strong confidence in an IPO occurring. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, reflecting a consensus around this outcome. With a confidence level of 55/100, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge towards the 'NO' outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors an IPO by 2027.
• 2 The majority of participants believe Anthropic will go public.
• 3 Historical trends show tech companies often IPO within similar timeframes.
• 4 Liquidity in this market is moderate, indicating stable participation.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with over 650 days until the deadline.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading f