Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

High probability indicates Anthropic is unlikely to IPO by June 30, 2026.

The market shows a strong belief that Anthropic will not go public by the specified date, with a probability of 95.55% for 'YES'. This sentiment is supported by the Pulse AI probability of 93.55%, suggesting a consensus on the company's IPO timeline.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors Anthropic not going public soon.
• 2 The probability gap suggests a stable consensus among participants.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -2.
• 4 Confidence level of 80 indicates reasonable certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purpo