Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of March?

Market predicts a high likelihood of Apple closing above $210 by end of March.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus with a 96.30% probability for Apple (AAPL) to close above $210 by the end of March. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 92.8%, indicating a well-aligned market sentiment. However, the edge of -3.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence at 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly positive towards AAPL's performance.
• 2 Key factors include recent product launches and overall tech sector strength.
• 3 Historical base rates for AAPL suggest strong performance in similar timeframes.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current pricing dynamics.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 398 hours until expiry, allowing for potential market shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.