Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?

Market shows a slight edge for Apple closing above $250 by end of March.

The prediction market indicates a 53.5% probability for Apple (AAPL) to close above $250 by the end of March, suggesting a competitive outlook. With a confidence rating of 60/100 and a fair pricing edge, the market reflects balanced sentiment among traders. The time to expiry is 396 hours, allowing for potential volatility in the stock's performance.

• 1 Current market probability is closely split, indicating uncertainty.
• 2 Recent trends in tech stocks may influence AAPL's performance.
• 3 The confidence level suggests moderate trader conviction.
• 4 Time remaining allows for significant market movements.
• 5 No clear edge indicates a balanced market sentiment.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.