Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of March?

Market favors AAPL closing below $270 by end of March.

The prediction market indicates an 82% likelihood that Apple (AAPL) will not close above $270 by the end of March. With a confidence level of 55 out of 100, the market appears fairly priced, suggesting a balanced view on AAPL's performance in the near term.

• 1 Current market probability shows strong sentiment against AAPL exceeding $270.
• 2 The Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly more optimistic view than the market.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
• 4 The edge of 4.5 suggests the market is reasonably balanced in pricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short, adding urgency to market dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.