Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 end of March?

Market indicates low probability of Apple closing above $290 by end of March.

The prediction market shows a 4.05% chance of Apple (AAPL) closing above $290 by the end of March, with a strong consensus against it. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 8.55%, but overall confidence remains moderate at 55 out of 100, indicating uncertainty in the market's sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Historical performance of AAPL suggests challenges in reaching $290.
• 3 Liquidity in the market appears stable, supporting current pricing.
• 4 Time pressure is moderate with 398 hours until expiry.
• 5 Market confidence is relatively low, indicating potential volatility.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.