Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 end of March?

Market indicates a low chance of Apple closing above $300 by end of March.

The current market probability for Apple closing above $300 is low at 7.25%, with a consensus leaning towards a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a slight increase in probability for a YES outcome, but still indicating a strong NO overall. With a confidence level of 60/100 and 402 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Historical performance of AAPL shows volatility around earnings dates.
• 3 Liquidity in the market appears stable with no major fluctuations.
• 4 Time pressure is moderate with 402 hours remaining until expiry.
• 5 Recent trends in tech stocks could influence AAPL's price movement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.