Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?

Big AI is highly likely to remain the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8.

The market shows a strong belief that Big AI will maintain its position as the top free app, with a probability of 99.95%. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 97.95%, indicating a consensus on its continued popularity. The edge of -2 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a high level of confidence in this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors Big AI's position.
• 2 The high probability indicates limited perceived risk for Big AI's ranking.
• 3 Historical trends show stability in app rankings for established leaders.
• 4 Liquidity in the market suggests active participation and confidence.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 606 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, or Google Gemini are not the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).