Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 31?

High probability indicates Claude will likely lose its #1 spot by March 31.

The prediction market shows a 99.95% probability that Claude will no longer be the top free app in the US Apple Store by March 31. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's assessment of 97.95%, suggesting strong consensus among participants. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 85 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows extreme confidence in Claude losing its top position.
• 2 Pulse AI's prediction closely matches market probability.
• 3 Current sentiment leans heavily towards a decline in Claude's ranking.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 382 hours.
• 5 Market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of -2.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claude by Anthropic is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).