Will Clavicular go clubbing 9-10 times in March?

Clavicular is unlikely to go clubbing 9-10 times in March.

The prediction market indicates a 64% probability that Clavicular will not go clubbing 9-10 times in March, with a slightly higher AI probability of 61% for the same outcome. The market appears fairly priced, suggesting a balanced view among participants.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards Clavicular not clubbing frequently.
• 2 The probabilities suggest a consensus on Clavicular's limited clubbing plans.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced without significant mispricing.
• 4 Confidence level of 55/100 reflects moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry of 465 hours allows for potential shifts in sentiment or information.

This market will resolve to the number of times Clavicular goes clubbing during the month of March 2026.

"Times" refers to discrete instances (separate nights) where Clavicular is physically present inside a nightclub, club, or similar nightlife venue (with music, dancing, and/or bottle service) for any duration of time.

Club appearances prior to this market being put up do not count.

Streaming from inside the club, posting videos or photos from the club, or being visibly filmed while clubbing will all count as evidence. Simply walking past a club, going to a bar that is not a nightclub, attending private parties, or off-stream club visits with no public evidence will not qualify.

Each separate night he enters a club counts as one instance, even if he visits multiple clubs in the same night.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Kick.com (e.g., https://www.kick.com/clavicular), credible video clips, photos, or stories posted by Clavicular himself, or a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence showing him inside a club during March 2026.