Will "Deadline (EP)" by BLACKPINK be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 21?

The market strongly favors that BLACKPINK's album will not be #1 on the Billboard 200.

With a market probability of 99.45% for 'NO', the consensus is that BLACKPINK's 'Deadline (EP)' will not secure the top position on the Billboard 200 for the week of March 21. The Pulse AI probability also reflects a low likelihood of 2.05% for a #1 ranking, indicating a strong belief in the prevailing outcome. The edge of 1.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current information.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 BLACKPINK's previous chart performance may influence expectations.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable, with a clear consensus.
• 4 Time pressure is moderate, with 92 hours until expiry.
• 5 The edge of 1.5 indicates fair pricing based on available data.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of March 21, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.