Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

Drake has a low probability of being the top Spotify artist in 2026.

The market indicates a strong belief that Drake will not be the top Spotify artist in 2026, with a probability of only 14.5% for a YES outcome. This suggests that other artists are expected to outperform him in terms of streaming numbers over the next few years.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors the NO outcome.
• 2 Drake's historical performance on Spotify may not sustain future dominance.
• 3 Market probabilities suggest a balanced assessment of Drake's potential.
• 4 The confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the current predictions.
• 5 Time until expiry allows for potential shifts in artist popularity.

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026.

This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026.

If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.