Market predicts Google will close above $250 by end of March with high confidence.
The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Google (GOOGL) will close above $250 by the end of March, with a probability of 97.95%. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 94.45%, suggesting a consensus on the stock's performance. The edge of -3.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence at 60 out of 100.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.