Will "I'm The Problem" by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 21?

The market strongly favors 'NO' for Wallen's album being #1 on March 21.

'I'm The Problem' by Morgan Wallen is projected to have a low probability of reaching #1 on the Billboard 200 for the week of March 21, with market probabilities indicating a 99.1% chance of 'NO.' The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a consensus against the album's potential success in that timeframe.

• 1 Current market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.1%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment at 97.6%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is 136 hours, allowing for potential market shifts.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of March 21, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.