Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?

Market shows a near-even split on John Ternus becoming Apple's next CEO.

The prediction market indicates a close contest regarding John Ternus's potential appointment as CEO of Apple, with probabilities nearly evenly split. The Pulse AI analysis suggests a slight edge towards 'NO,' indicating uncertainty in the market. The confidence level of 55 out of 100 reflects a moderate level of certainty among participants.

• 1 Current market probability is almost evenly divided at 50.50% YES and 49.5% NO.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slight lean towards NO at 51%.
• 3 The edge of -1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55 out of 100, suggesting uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 7126 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.