The market strongly predicts Kanye will not release BULLY by January 30.
Current market sentiment indicates a 100% probability that Kanye will not release BULLY by the end of January. The Pulse AI suggests a very low chance of release, with only 1.5% probability assigned to a YES outcome. This suggests that the market is confident in its NO prediction, reflecting a stable consensus among participants.
Ye (Kanye West) set a release date of January 30, 2026 for his new album, BULLY (See: https://open.spotify.com/prerelease/4xFs0x8abwU3H9uNRPFRmE).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ye officially releases BULLY by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that BULLY is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Kanye West/Ye album officially confirmed to be the “BULLY” project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.