Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?

The market indicates a strong belief that Kanye will not release BULLY by March 20.

Current market probabilities show a definitive stance against the release of BULLY, with a 100% NO probability. The AI model also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher YES probability, suggesting that while the market is confident, there may be minor speculative sentiments at play.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong consensus against the release.
• 2 AI probability is slightly more optimistic but still favors NO.
• 3 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced given current sentiment.
• 4 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the market's position.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to future developments.

Ye (Kanye West) set a release date of March 20, 2026 for his new album, BULLY (See: https://www.rollingstone.com/music/music-news/kanye-west-bully-release-date-signs-with-gamma-1235506094/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ye officially releases BULLY by March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that BULLY is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Kanye West/Ye album officially confirmed to be the “BULLY” project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.