Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?

The market shows a nearly even split on Kanye releasing BULLY by March 27.

With a market probability of 50.50% for a YES and 49.5% for a NO, expectations are tightly balanced regarding the release of BULLY. The confidence level of 70/100 indicates moderate certainty among participants, while the edge of 0 suggests the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Market probabilities are closely aligned, indicating uncertainty.
• 2 The confidence level suggests moderate belief in the outcome.
• 3 No clear edge indicates fair pricing in the market.
• 4 External factors could significantly influence release timing.
• 5 Current sentiment reflects a balanced view among participants.

Ye (Kanye West) set a release date of March 20, 2026 for his new album, BULLY (See: https://www.rollingstone.com/music/music-news/kanye-west-bully-release-date-signs-with-gamma-1235506094/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ye officially releases BULLY by March 27, 2026, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that BULLY is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Kanye West/Ye album officially confirmed to be the “BULLY” project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.