Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Market strongly favors NO for Meituan having the #1 AI model by April 2026.

The prediction market shows a significant bias against Meituan achieving the top AI model status, with a NO probability of 99.45%. The Pulse AI model also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher YES probability. This suggests a consensus that Meituan is unlikely to lead in AI technology by the specified date.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO at 99.45%.
• 2 Pulse AI model indicates a lower, yet notable YES probability of 3.55%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is 817 hours, allowing for potential developments.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on ano