Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Market strongly favors NO for Meituan having the best AI model by June 2026.

The prediction market indicates a high probability of 99.75% for NO, suggesting that participants largely believe Meituan will not have the best AI model by the specified date. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely with this sentiment, further reinforcing the market's stance. With a confidence level of 75/100, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 1.5.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors NO for Meituan's AI model.
• 2 Market probability shows 99.75% for NO, indicating strong skepticism.
• 3 Pulse AI probability is slightly more optimistic but still low at 1.75% YES.
• 4 Confidence level of 75/100 suggests moderate certainty in the market's position.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 2699 hours, allowing for potential developments.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.