Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

The market strongly favors NO for Meituan's top AI model by June 2026.

Current market probabilities indicate a high likelihood that Meituan will not have the leading AI model by June 2026. With a market probability of 99.65% for NO, this suggests a strong consensus against Meituan's prospects in this area. The confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate uncertainty among participants.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.65%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability shows a slight chance for YES at 3.35%.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial at 2655 hours, allowing for potential developments.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.