Will Meta acquire TikTok?

The market strongly favors that Meta will not acquire TikTok.

Current market probabilities indicate a low likelihood of Meta acquiring TikTok, with a 95.75% chance of 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily leans towards 'NO'.
• 2 The probability of acquisition is low at 4.25%.
• 3 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 7.25% for 'YES'.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 7104 hours, allowing for potential developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use