Will Mistral have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Mistral is unlikely to have the best AI model for math by March 31.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Mistral having the best AI model for math, with a 99.85% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of Mistral outperforming competitors in this area.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.85%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 3.15%.
• 3 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is 476 hours, allowing for potential developments.

This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the highest “Mathematics Average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

If two models are tied for the highest LiveBench Mathematics Average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “Mathematics Average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the LiveBench AI leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.