Market strongly favors Netflix not reaching $140 in March.
The prediction market shows a high probability of 98.85% for Netflix not reaching $140 in March, with a lower AI probability of 4.15% for a YES outcome. The edge of 3 indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence at 55 out of 100.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.