Will Netflix reach $455 in March?

Market indicates low probability of Netflix reaching $455 in March.

The prediction market shows a 2.55% chance of Netflix reaching $455 by March, with a strong consensus against it. The Pulse AI model suggests a slightly higher probability of 4.05%, but both indicate a low likelihood of this target being met. Given the edge of 1.5, the market appears fairly priced at this time.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly negative towards Netflix reaching $455.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests slight optimism from AI models.
• 3 Historical performance of Netflix stock may influence future expectations.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears stable, with clear pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with only 404 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.