Market strongly favors NVIDIA closing below $190 on March 16.
The prediction market indicates a high probability of NVIDIA not closing above $190, with a 98.8% NO probability. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly higher YES probability at 2.7%. Given the edge of 1.5, the market appears fairly priced with moderate confidence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on March 16 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https: