Will "Octane" by Don Toliver be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 21?

The market strongly favors 'NO' for Octane being #1 on the Billboard 200.

'Octane' by Don Toliver has a very low probability of reaching #1 on the Billboard 200, with market sentiment heavily leaning towards 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, indicating that the album is unlikely to achieve this position within the given timeframe.

• 1 Current market probability for 'NO' is significantly higher than 'YES'.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' compared to the market.
• 3 Market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 92 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of March 21, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.