Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Market leans towards OpenAI not going public by 2026.

The prediction market indicates a higher probability for OpenAI not to IPO by the end of 2026, with a 62.5% chance of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI model shows a slightly more optimistic view, but overall confidence in the market is moderate at 65 out of 100, suggesting a balanced perspective on the likelihood of an IPO.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a NO outcome for OpenAI's IPO.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the Pulse AI prediction.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the current probabilities.
• 4 Potential market shifts could arise from strategic business developments.
• 5 The time to expiry for this market remains unspecified, adding uncertainty.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.