Market suggests a 60.5% chance Perplexity won't IPO by 2027.
The prediction market indicates a 60.5% probability that Perplexity will not go public by the end of 2027, with a slight edge suggesting the market is fairly priced. The Pulse AI model aligns closely, forecasting a 55.5% chance of the same outcome, reflecting moderate confidence in the prediction. With 15865 hours until expiry, market dynamics could shift based on company performance or market conditions.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of tradi