Will "Risk It All - Bruno Mars" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

The market strongly favors that 'Risk It All - Bruno Mars' will not be #1 on US Spotify this week.

'Risk It All - Bruno Mars' has a very low probability of reaching #1 on US Spotify this week, with market sentiment overwhelmingly against it. Both the market and AI probabilities indicate a consensus that the song is unlikely to achieve this position, suggesting a stable outlook for current trends in music popularity.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong belief that the song will not reach #1.
• 2 AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating consensus.
• 3 Current edge suggests the market is fairly priced with minimal mispricing.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the market dynamics.

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled March 13.

If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled March 13 by March 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.