Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?

Market strongly favors no, with low probability for 3-4 inches of precipitation in Seattle in March.

The prediction market indicates a 99.75% probability that Seattle will not receive between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March. This is supported by a low AI probability of 2.25% for the same outcome, suggesting a consensus on expected weather conditions. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current sentiment strongly favors no precipitation in the specified range.
• 2 Key factors include historical weather patterns for March in Seattle.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current pricing.
• 4 Time pressure is moderate with 110 hours until expiry.
• 5 Confidence level indicates a reasonable degree of certainty in predictions.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.