Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?

The market strongly favors no, predicting less than 4 inches of precipitation in Seattle this March.

The prediction market indicates a high probability of 99.6% for no, suggesting that participants expect Seattle to receive less than 4 inches of precipitation in March. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a 97.6% probability for no, indicating a consensus on the expected weather conditions. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 108 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors less than 4 inches of precipitation.
• 2 The high NO probability suggests confidence in the forecasted weather conditions.
• 3 Historical data may support lower precipitation levels for Seattle in March.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 108 hours until market expiry.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.